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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Oakwood Shores Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031351100 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,160 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 17031351100 covers part of the Oakwood Shores area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,160 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 49% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,075
Renter share97.2%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$19,913

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 14 tracts In Oakwood Shores
Moderate
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8278, -87.6142 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakwood Shores scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$525 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Oakwood Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakwood Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 351100Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,049Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.0%Peak (2002)
  • 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170313511002001: 103 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)2002: 233 filings (14.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 123 filings (7.41/100 renter HHs)2004: 111 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2005: 117 filings (11.30/100 renter HHs)2006: 54 filings (5.22/100 renter HHs)2007: 24 filings (2.32/100 renter HHs)2008: 29 filings (2.80/100 renter HHs)2009: 24 filings (2.32/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2011: 34 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)2012: 85 filings (11.42/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2014: 35 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 76% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oakwood Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakwood Shores

Average gross rent is $525, 64% below the Chicago average. Housing insecurity runs 44.8% against 14.2% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 66.7% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,049 evictions over 15 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 14.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031351100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031351100?

Census tract 17031351100 in the Oakwood Shores neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031351100?

Median gross rent is $525/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031351100?

52.6% of residents in tract 17031351100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,160.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031351100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 90th, minority 100th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 17031351100 considered part of Oakwood Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031351100 fall within Oakwood Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031351100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,049 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031351100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.95% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031351100 struggle to pay rent?

About 44.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 36.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031351100 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031351100 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031351100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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