Skip to content
Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Marshall Square Eviction Risk: Elevated

9 census tracts · pop 35,223 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.8/10 · range 5.3–8.1

Marshall Square is a 9-tract neighborhood of Chicago, IL, population 35,223. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.8/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs about half against 29.3% citywide, putting Marshall Square 20.6% over its own city.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.3 to 8.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.3/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 31.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 28.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

At $1,000 a month, rents sit 31% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Filings are well documented here: 2,070 across 8 observed tracts.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 8.9% of renter households.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
9 tracts · population-weighted
Marshall Square vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.9% +70%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,000 -31%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$54,618 -27%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
26.1% +55%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
59.9% +11%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Marshall Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 5.3–8.1

Why Marshall Square scores 7.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
26.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–10.0 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.7 across tracts
1.3
Risk score comparison

Marshall Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Marshall Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Marshall Square: 7.87.8Marshall SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Marshall Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 5.3 to 8.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Marshall Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031843500 8.1 9,398 42% $839
17031301200 8.1 5,209 52% $949
17031300800 8.1 4,192 59% $1,101
17031300900 8.1 3,937 57% $838
17031840800 8.1 3,258 64% $1,150
17031844700 8.1 1,753 48% $1,350
17031841700 8.1 1,137 33% $1,040
17031301100 7.8 2,409 62% $1,023
17031840700 5.3 3,930 36% $1,202
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 59%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Marshall Square

Aggregated across 8 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,070Total filings (sum)
  • 2.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak year (2015)
  • 3.85%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Marshall Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Marshall Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Marshall Square?

Marshall Square scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Marshall Square compare to Chicago overall?

Marshall Square scores 1.1 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,000 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Marshall Square?

Average gross rent in Marshall Square is $1,000/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Marshall Square residents are renters?

60% of Marshall Square households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 35,223 residents.
Q5

Is Marshall Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Marshall Square sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Marshall Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Marshall Square is census tract 17031843500 (score 8.1/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 8.1, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Marshall Square for landlords?

Marshall Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.8/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Marshall Square?

Marshall Square has 33,745 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (63.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Marshall Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Marshall Square.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further