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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

K-Town Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031292400 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,765 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

17031292400 is a census tract in the K-Town Historic District area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 29% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units696
Renter share67.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate41.5%
Median income$40,152

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In K-Town Historic District
Elevated
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#254 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8552, -87.7224 · click any tract to drill in

Why K-Town Historic District scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
41.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,540 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How K-Town Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
K-Town Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 292400Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 542Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 6.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2001)
  • 43Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312924002001: 55 filings (9.47/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)2003: 42 filings (7.23/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (3.79/100 renter HHs)2005: 35 filings (5.74/100 renter HHs)2006: 27 filings (4.43/100 renter HHs)2007: 23 filings (3.77/100 renter HHs)2008: 50 filings (8.20/100 renter HHs)2009: 37 filings (6.07/100 renter HHs)2010: 34 filings (6.22/100 renter HHs)2011: 40 filings (7.66/100 renter HHs)2012: 45 filings (8.62/100 renter HHs)2013: 34 filings (6.51/100 renter HHs)2014: 36 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 43 filings (8.24/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within K-Town Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in K-Town Historic District

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $40,152, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 35.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Against Cook County at 45.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 542 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 9.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031292400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031292400?

Census tract 17031292400 in the K-Town Historic District neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031292400?

Median gross rent is $1,540/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031292400?

41.5% of residents in tract 17031292400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,765.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031292400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 56th, minority 85th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 17031292400 considered part of K-Town Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031292400 fall within K-Town Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031292400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 542 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031292400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.41% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031292400 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031292400 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031292400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031292400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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