Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
East Pilsen Eviction Risk: Lower , Chicago
Tract 17031310200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,824 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17031310200 (the East Pilsen area of Chicago, Illinois) comes in at 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,961 monthly, set against $122,422 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units792
Renter share60.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$122,422
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8563, -87.6442 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Pilsen scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,961 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How East Pilsen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 95%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 133Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2003)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Pilsen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 18.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Pilsen
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 133 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.2% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031310200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031310200?
Census tract 17031310200 in the East Pilsen neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031310200?
Median gross rent is $1,961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031310200?
4.0% of residents in tract 17031310200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,824.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031310200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 1th, minority 76th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 17031310200 considered part of East Pilsen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031310200 fall within East Pilsen (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031310200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 133 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031310200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.96% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031310200 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031310200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031310200 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031310200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 95% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Argyle Street
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Altgeld Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Philip Murray Homes
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Homan Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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