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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Marynook Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031440102 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,320 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 17031440102 sits in the Marynook area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 46.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 34% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,973
Renter share77.3%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate34.4%
Median income$36,650

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Marynook
Very High
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#257 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#123 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7409, -87.6012 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marynook scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
34.4% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$905 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Marynook compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marynook risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 440102Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,983Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.4%Peak (2013)
  • 128Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314401022001: 142 filings (7.49/100 renter HHs)2002: 147 filings (7.75/100 renter HHs)2003: 159 filings (8.39/100 renter HHs)2004: 135 filings (7.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 112 filings (5.91/100 renter HHs)2006: 127 filings (6.70/100 renter HHs)2007: 101 filings (5.33/100 renter HHs)2008: 118 filings (6.22/100 renter HHs)2009: 78 filings (4.11/100 renter HHs)2010: 137 filings (11.10/100 renter HHs)2011: 112 filings (8.07/100 renter HHs)2012: 144 filings (10.38/100 renter HHs)2013: 172 filings (12.40/100 renter HHs)2014: 171 filings (12.33/100 renter HHs)2015: 128 filings (9.23/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marynook. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marynook

The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $905, 37% below the Chicago average.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.6/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.6% across Cook County.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,983 evictions over 15 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 12.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031440102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031440102?

Census tract 17031440102 in the Marynook neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031440102?

Median gross rent is $905/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031440102?

34.4% of residents in tract 17031440102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,320.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031440102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 23th, minority 98th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 17031440102 considered part of Marynook?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031440102 fall within Marynook (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031440102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,983 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031440102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.17% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031440102 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031440102 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031440102 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031440102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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