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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,526 of 84,120 nationally

Mandell Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031261000 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,268 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 17031261000 sits in the Mandell neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 2,268 and an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). 44% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 32% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,246/month against a median household income of $48,482 — roughly 31% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 43% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units928
Renter share76.8%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$48,482

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
29 th percentile
Rank — 29th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 8 tracts In Mandell
Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank — 56th percentileBottomTop
#347 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank — 72th percentileBottomTop
#369 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank — 86th percentileBottomTop
#462 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8713, -87.7320 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mandell scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,246 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Mandell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mandell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 261000Chicago: 6.86.8Chicagoparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 513Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 7.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak (2002)
  • 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312610002001: 36 filings (6.50/100 renter HHs)2002: 50 filings (9.03/100 renter HHs)2003: 48 filings (8.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 21 filings (3.79/100 renter HHs)2005: 30 filings (6.32/100 renter HHs)2006: 40 filings (8.42/100 renter HHs)2007: 27 filings (5.68/100 renter HHs)2008: 27 filings (5.68/100 renter HHs)2009: 34 filings (7.16/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (6.86/100 renter HHs)2011: 33 filings (7.37/100 renter HHs)2012: 32 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 39 filings (8.71/100 renter HHs)2014: 38 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (5.58/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mandell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031261000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031261000?

Census tract 17031261000 in the Mandell neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031261000?

Median gross rent is $1,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031261000?

20.2% of residents in tract 17031261000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,268.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031261000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 94th, minority 100th, housing 43th.

Q5

Is tract 17031261000 considered part of Mandell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031261000 fall within Mandell (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031261000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 513 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031261000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.03% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 17031261000 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 17031261000 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031261000 scores 6.1/10 — lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 17031261000 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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