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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Auburn Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031691200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,984 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 17031691200, home to 1,984 residents in the Auburn Park area of Chicago, scores 6.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 91st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,057 a month while the average household earns $34,444 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 23% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units822
Renter share62.7%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate36.3%
Median income$34,444

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Auburn Park
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#96 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7526, -87.6304 · click any tract to drill in

Why Auburn Park scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
36.3% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,057 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Auburn Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Auburn Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.07.0This tracttract 691200Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,300Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 11.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.7%Peak (2001)
  • 82Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170316912002001: 136 filings (17.71/100 renter HHs)2002: 117 filings (15.23/100 renter HHs)2003: 118 filings (15.36/100 renter HHs)2004: 80 filings (10.42/100 renter HHs)2005: 83 filings (10.44/100 renter HHs)2006: 51 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2007: 79 filings (9.94/100 renter HHs)2008: 107 filings (13.46/100 renter HHs)2009: 75 filings (9.43/100 renter HHs)2010: 90 filings (12.53/100 renter HHs)2011: 55 filings (6.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 70 filings (8.85/100 renter HHs)2013: 78 filings (9.86/100 renter HHs)2014: 79 filings (9.99/100 renter HHs)2015: 82 filings (10.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Auburn Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Auburn Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 34.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 66% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031691200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031691200?

Census tract 17031691200 in the Auburn Park neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031691200?

Median gross rent is $1,057/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031691200?

36.3% of residents in tract 17031691200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031691200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 96th, minority 99th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 17031691200 considered part of Auburn Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031691200 fall within Auburn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031691200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,300 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031691200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.13% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031691200 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031691200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031691200 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031691200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 66% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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