Scarsdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Arlington Heights

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,851, 62% above the Arlington Heights average.

The voucher gap is 61.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 49 evictions over 15 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 6.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.