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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Jarvis Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031810000 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,359 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 17031810000 in the Jarvis Square area of Evanston, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,359 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 27% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,810
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$119,231

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Jarvis Square
Very Low
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 19 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#808 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#1,067 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 42.0247, -87.6693 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jarvis Square scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,803 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.1

How Jarvis Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jarvis Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 810000Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 310Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.8%Peak (2004)
  • 16Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318100002001: 21 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2002: 29 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)2003: 36 filings (2.67/100 renter HHs)2004: 38 filings (2.81/100 renter HHs)2005: 29 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)2007: 16 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2008: 12 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2012: 13 filings (0.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2014: 17 filings (1.19/100 renter HHs)2015: 16 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Jarvis Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jarvis Square

Against Cook County at 45.6%, 35% of renters here are cost-burdened. Disability prevalence runs 17.7% against 31.5% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 310 filings here across 15 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 2.8% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031810000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031810000?

Census tract 17031810000 in the Jarvis Square neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031810000?

Median gross rent is $1,803/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031810000?

12.7% of residents in tract 17031810000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,359.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031810000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 5th, minority 32th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 17031810000 considered part of Jarvis Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031810000 fall within Jarvis Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031810000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 310 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031810000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.60% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031810000 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031810000 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031810000 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031810000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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