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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Jarvis Square Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 26,955 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 5.7–8.1

Jarvis Square is a 5-tract neighborhood of Chicago, IL, population 26,955. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.2/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 29.3% citywide, putting Jarvis Square 16.4% over its own city.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.7 to 8.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Filings are well documented here: 5,971 across 5 observed tracts.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 10.2% of renter households. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. The most recent observed rate, 4.1% in 2015, is well off that peak.

That places it #88 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago. The closest comparables inside the same city are Little India and Tri-Taylor.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
Jarvis Square vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.7% +56%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,392 -3%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$70,963 -6%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
16.7% -1%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
66.2% +23%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Jarvis Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 5.7–8.1

Why Jarvis Square scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–8.5 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 5.5–6.3 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–7.5 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 8.0–8.6 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.5 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 2.0–6.2 across tracts
4.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–5.2 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Jarvis Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Jarvis Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Jarvis Square: 7.27.2Jarvis SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Jarvis Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.4 points from 5.7 to 8.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Jarvis Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031010201 8.1 8,210 43% $1,333
17031010202 8.1 2,865 60% $1,292
17031010100 7.2 4,284 54% $1,252
17031010300 6.7 6,237 46% $1,257
17031810000 5.7 5,359 35% $1,803
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Jarvis Square

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,971Total filings (sum)
  • 5.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak year (2013)
  • 4.27%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Jarvis Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Jarvis Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Jarvis Square?

Jarvis Square scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Jarvis Square compare to Chicago overall?

Jarvis Square scores 0.5 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,392 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Jarvis Square?

Average gross rent in Jarvis Square is $1,392/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Jarvis Square residents are renters?

66% of Jarvis Square households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 26,955 residents.
Q5

Is Jarvis Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Jarvis Square sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Jarvis Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Jarvis Square is census tract 17031010201 (score 8.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 8.1, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Jarvis Square for landlords?

Jarvis Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Jarvis Square?

Jarvis Square has 25,430 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), Hispanic / Latino (22%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Jarvis Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Jarvis Square.

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