Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Southtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Park
Tract 17031813200 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 4,578 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
17031813200 is a census tract in the Southtown area of Oak Park, IL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,578. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 19%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,613
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$136,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Southtown
Very Low
Within parent city
31th percentile
#10 of 14 tracts In Oak Park
Low
Within county
21th percentile
#1,054 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
48th percentile
#1,685 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park and the region
Centroid at 41.8691, -87.7970 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southtown scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,267 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park
4.6
How Southtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
33%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.2%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.7%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
5.7%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southtown
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.8/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.8/10. At $1,267 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Oak Park commands.
The filing record is not thin: 196 evictions over 15 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 4.1% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031813200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813200?
Census tract 17031813200 in the Southtown neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031813200?
Median gross rent is $1,267/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813200?
7.2% of residents in tract 17031813200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,578.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 19th, minority 53th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 17031813200 considered part of Southtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813200 fall within Southtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 196 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.81% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031813200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031813200 compare to Oak Park overall?
Tract 17031813200 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Park at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031813200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park
Top eight tracts in Oak Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.