Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Southtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oak Park
Tract 17031816100 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,968 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
17031816100 is a census tract in the Southtown area of Forest Park, IL. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,968. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,563
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$62,389
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park and the region
Centroid at 41.8616, -87.8184 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southtown scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,309 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park
5.0
How Southtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 790Total filings over 15 yrs
- 4.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2013)
- 45Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 15.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southtown
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.8/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 790 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. The worst year on record was 2013, when 6.6% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters.
Average gross rent is $1,309, close to the Forest Park average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031816100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031816100?
Census tract 17031816100 in the Southtown neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031816100?
Median gross rent is $1,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031816100?
10.9% of residents in tract 17031816100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,968.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031816100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 75th, minority 64th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 17031816100 considered part of Southtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031816100 fall within Southtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031816100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 790 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031816100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.48% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031816100 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031816100 compare to Oak Park overall?
Tract 17031816100 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Park at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031816100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park
Top eight tracts in Oak Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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