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Neighborhood · Oak Park, IL

Southtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 20,205 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 4.8–6.7

Southtown takes in 4 census tracts of Oak Park, IL, population 20,205. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 47% against 27.5% citywide, putting Southtown 19.0% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.2/10.

The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.8 to 6.7, a 1.9-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

At $1,257 a month, rents sit 21% under what the rest of Oak Park commands. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.3/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,470 across 4 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 6.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.0% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Oak Park, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third. Against average income of $102,984, annual rent is only 15%, a wide affordability cushion.

34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Southtown vs Oak Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.5% +69%
Oak Park: 27.5%
Average gross rent
$1,257 -21%
Oak Park: $1,593
Average HH income
$102,984 -5%
Oak Park: $108,026
Poverty rate
9.3% +38%
Oak Park: 6.7%
Renter share
33.9% -15%
Oak Park: 40.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Southtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.8–6.7

Why Southtown scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 4.6–7.0 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.7–5.1 across tracts
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 8.0–8.8 across tracts
8.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.6–6.2 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
9.3% below poverty line · Range 1.7–3.0 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–2.4 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Southtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Southtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Southtown: 5.75.7SouthtownNeighborhoodParent city: 6.26.2Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Southtown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 4.8 to 6.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Southtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031816100 6.7 5,968 48% $1,309
17031814700 6.2 5,071 51% $1,192
17031812900 4.8 4,588 52% $1,252
17031813200 4.8 4,578 33% $1,267
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 52

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Southtown

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,470Total filings (sum)
  • 3.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak year (2013)
  • 3.12%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Southtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Southtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Southtown?

Southtown scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Southtown compare to Oak Park overall?

Southtown scores 0.5 points lower than Oak Park overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,257 vs $1,593.
Q3

What is the average rent in Southtown?

Average gross rent in Southtown is $1,257/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Southtown residents are renters?

34% of Southtown households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Oak Park). The neighborhood has 20,205 residents.
Q5

Is Southtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Southtown sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Southtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Southtown is census tract 17031816100 (score 6.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 6.7, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Southtown for landlords?

Southtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oak Park as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Southtown?

Southtown has 20,074 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.1%), Hispanic / Latino (23.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Southtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oak Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Southtown.

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