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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Clyde Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cicero

Tract 17031813802 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,386 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 17031813802 sits in the Clyde area of Cicero eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. Population here is 4,386. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 26% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,433
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$67,277

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Clyde
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Cicero
Very High
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#410 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#435 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cicero and the region

Centroid at 41.8480, -87.7540 · click any tract to drill in

Why Clyde scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cicero
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cicero
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cicero
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cicero
5.8

How Clyde compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Clyde risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 813802Cicero: 6.16.1Ciceroparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 329Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2012)
  • 23Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318138022001: 32 filings (5.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 23 filings (3.78/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (4.16/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2007: 14 filings (3.24/100 renter HHs)2008: 22 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 22 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2011: 23 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 35 filings (3.59/100 renter HHs)2013: 20 filings (2.05/100 renter HHs)2014: 19 filings (1.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 23 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Clyde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Clyde

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.1% against 11.3% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 33.7% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Court records carry 329 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 3.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031813802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813802?

Census tract 17031813802 in the Clyde neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031813802?

Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813802?

22.7% of residents in tract 17031813802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,386.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 68th, minority 91th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 17031813802 considered part of Clyde?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813802 fall within Clyde (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 329 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.44% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031813802 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031813802 compare to Cicero overall?

Tract 17031813802 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Cicero at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031813802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cicero

Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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