Fernway Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Orland Hills

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,647, 77% above the Tinley Park average. The voucher gap is 50.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 2.6 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $93,277, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 114 eviction filings across 15 observed years. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.