Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Fernway Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orland Hills
Tract 17031824124 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,909 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 17031824124 sits in the Fernway Park area of Orland Hills, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 2,909. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share39.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$79,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orland Hills and the region
Centroid at 41.5957, -87.8452 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fernway Park scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orland Hills
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,299 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orland Hills
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orland Hills
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orland Hills
4.3
How Fernway Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fernway Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 13.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fernway Park
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.
Average gross rent is $1,299, close to the Orland Hills average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $79,688. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031824124
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031824124?
Census tract 17031824124 in the Fernway Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031824124?
Median gross rent is $1,299/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031824124?
13.6% of residents in tract 17031824124 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,909.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031824124?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 78th, minority 62th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 17031824124 considered part of Fernway Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031824124 fall within Fernway Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17031824124 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17031824124 compare to Orland Hills overall?
Tract 17031824124 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Orland Hills at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orland Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orland Hills
Top eight tracts in Orland Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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