Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Fernway Eviction Risk: Lower , Tinley Park
Tract 17031825304 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,192 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
17031825304 is a census tract in the Fernway area of Tinley Park, IL. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,192. It sits 2.5 points below the Cook County average of 6.1.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,629
Renter share14.4%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$94,961
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tinley Park and the region
Centroid at 41.5736, -87.8040 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fernway scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tinley Park
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,243 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tinley Park
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tinley Park
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tinley Park
4.7
How Fernway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 160Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2007)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fernway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fernway
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
Cost burden runs 39% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. At $1,243 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Tinley Park commands.
Court records carry 160 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 6.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Against average income of $94,961, annual rent is just 16%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031825304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031825304?
Census tract 17031825304 in the Fernway neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031825304?
Median gross rent is $1,243/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031825304?
8.5% of residents in tract 17031825304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,192.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031825304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 28th, minority 30th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 17031825304 considered part of Fernway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031825304 fall within Fernway (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031825304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 160 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031825304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.45% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031825304 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031825304 compare to Tinley Park overall?
Tract 17031825304 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tinley Park at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tinley Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tinley Park
Top eight tracts in Tinley Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
17031825303
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
17031824507
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Fernway Park
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
17031825400
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Marycrest Catle Dargan
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Brookside Glen
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Fernway
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
17031824123
3
/ 10 · Low
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