Neighborhood · Tinley Park, IL

Fernway Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 19,544 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.6

Fernway takes in 4 census tracts of Tinley Park, IL, population 19,544. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $267, 82% below the Tinley Park average of $1,495.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. 29% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Court records carry 232 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 6.2% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 4.9% in 2015 against a 6.2% peak.

At 4% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $136,348, annual rent is only 2%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Fernway vs Tinley Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

28.8% -2%

Tinley Park: 29.5%

Average gross rent

$267 -82%

Tinley Park: $1,495

Average HH income

$136,348 +31%

Tinley Park: $103,819

Poverty rate

6.5% +24%

Tinley Park: 5.2%

Renter share

4.1% -69%

Tinley Park: 13.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fernway and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3.6

Why Fernway scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

29% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

4% renter households · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Economic stress

6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–5.0 across tracts

4.4

Risk score comparison

Fernway vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Fernway?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 3 to 3.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.6 3.0 3.0 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Fernway

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
17031825304	3.6	4,192	39%	$1,243
17031824122	3	5,935	0%	—
17031824126	3	5,416	—	—
17031824127	3	4,001	100%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 32%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 14%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fernway

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

232Total filings (sum)
1.43%Avg annual filing rate
6.2%Peak year (2009)
5.12%Latest filed (2015)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fernway

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.7%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
6.3%No health insurance
23.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Fernway

What is the eviction-risk score for Fernway?

Fernway scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Fernway compare to Tinley Park overall?

Fernway scores 1.2 points lower than Tinley Park overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $267 vs $1,495.

What is the average rent in Fernway?

Average gross rent in Fernway is $267/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Fernway residents are renters?

4% of Fernway households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in Tinley Park). The neighborhood has 19,544 residents.

Is Fernway a high social-vulnerability area?

Fernway sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Fernway have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fernway is census tract 17031825304 (score 3.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.6, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Fernway for landlords?

Fernway carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tinley Park as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Fernway?

Fernway has 19,240 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fernway

3.7 Fernway Park 3 tracts · pop 10,457 3.2 Alpine 3 tracts · pop 13,851 4.7 Marycrest Catle Dargan 2 tracts · pop 9,512 3.2 Brook Lane 2 tracts · pop 8,529 5.5 Maple Brook 2 tracts · pop 6,436 7.5 University Park 2 tracts · pop 8,284

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tinley Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fernway.

3.3 Brookside Glen 1 tracts · pop 7,424

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