Downers Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,250, 96% above the Downers Grove average.

The voucher gap is 84.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Against the DuPage County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.