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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Bull Creek Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Beach Park

Tract 17097860500 · Lake County, IL · pop 4,195 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

How risky is Bull Creek Terrace in Beach Park for landlords? Census tract 17097860500 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 81% of US census tracts.

About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,283 monthly, set against $59,917 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 10% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,566
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$59,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bull Creek Terrace
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Beach Park
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 159 tracts In Lake County
Very High
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#875 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Beach Park and the region

Centroid at 42.4406, -87.8344 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bull Creek Terrace scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Beach Park
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,283 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Beach Park
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Beach Park
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Beach Park
7.0

How Bull Creek Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bull Creek Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 860500Beach Park: 4.84.8Beach Parkparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bull Creek Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bull Creek Terrace

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Beach Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lake County average of 5.3 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17097860500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17097860500?

Census tract 17097860500 in the Bull Creek Terrace neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17097860500?

Median gross rent is $1,283/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17097860500?

21.9% of residents in tract 17097860500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,195.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17097860500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 99th, minority 81th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 17097860500 considered part of Bull Creek Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17097860500 fall within Bull Creek Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17097860500 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17097860500 compare to Beach Park overall?

Tract 17097860500 scores 5/10, right in line with the parent city of Beach Park at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Beach Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Beach Park

Top eight tracts in Beach Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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