Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
The Townes at Barclay Eviction Risk: Lower , Buffalo Grove
Tract 17097864521 ·
Lake County, IL · pop 2,749 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 17097864521 covers part of the The Townes at Barclay area of Lincolnshire, IL, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,749. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 9%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,348
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$156,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In The Townes at Barclay
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Buffalo Grove
Very High
Within county
42th percentile
#92 of 159 tracts In Lake County
Moderate
Within state
22th percentile
#2,555 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Buffalo Grove and the region
Centroid at 42.1903, -87.9327 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Townes at Barclay scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo Grove
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,191 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo Grove
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo Grove
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo Grove
6.1
How The Townes at Barclay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
3%Socioeconomic
59%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Townes at Barclay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.1%Housing insecurity
2.3%Utility-shutoff threat
5.4%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
3.0%Transit barriers
3.9%No health insurance
8.1%Frequent mental distress
23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Townes at Barclay
62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Lake County average of 42.6%. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
The voucher gap is 81.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 1.0 points below the Lake County average of 4.4. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $3,191 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Lincolnshire commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17097864521
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17097864521?
Census tract 17097864521 in the The Townes at Barclay neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17097864521?
Median gross rent is $3,191/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17097864521?
2.8% of residents in tract 17097864521 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,749.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17097864521?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 59th, minority 64th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 17097864521 considered part of The Townes at Barclay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17097864521 fall within The Townes at Barclay (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17097864521 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17097864521 compare to Buffalo Grove overall?
Tract 17097864521 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo Grove
Top eight tracts in Buffalo Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.