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Neighborhood · Buffalo Grove, IL

The Townes at Barclay Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 11,963 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3–5.2

The Townes at Barclay is a 3-tract neighborhood of Buffalo Grove, IL, population 11,963. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. The voucher gap is 33.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3 to 5.2. A 2.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 7.6/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10. At $2,343 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Buffalo Grove commands.

Food insecurity affects 7.4% of adults, 10.4 points below the national rate. 29% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, a little above the Buffalo Grove rate of 24.7%. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Woodland Chase and Prairie View. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $138,354.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
The Townes at Barclay vs Buffalo Grove How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.6% +16%
Buffalo Grove: 24.7%
Average gross rent
$2,343 +15%
Buffalo Grove: $2,037
Average HH income
$138,354 +7%
Buffalo Grove: $129,820
Poverty rate
11.1% +70%
Buffalo Grove: 6.5%
Renter share
37.4% +86%
Buffalo Grove: 20.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Townes at Barclay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–5.2

Why The Townes at Barclay scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 3.7–9.6 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.8–5.1 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 2.0–4.4 across tracts
3.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–6.1 across tracts
4.9
Economic stress
11.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.8 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.3–10.0 across tracts
7.6
Risk score comparison

The Townes at Barclay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Townes at Barclay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Townes at Barc: 3.93.9The Townes at BarcNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in The Townes at Barclay?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.2 points from 3 to 5.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in The Townes at Barclay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17097864524 5.2 4,160 19% $2,218
17097864521 3.4 2,749 62% $3,191
17097864520 3 5,054 19% $1,984
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 45%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Townes at Barclay

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Townes at Barclay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Townes at Barclay?

The Townes at Barclay scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Townes at Barclay compare to Buffalo Grove overall?

The Townes at Barclay scores 0.1 points lower than Buffalo Grove overall (4/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,343 vs $2,037.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Townes at Barclay?

Average gross rent in The Townes at Barclay is $2,343/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Townes at Barclay residents are renters?

37% of The Townes at Barclay households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Buffalo Grove). The neighborhood has 11,963 residents.
Q5

Is The Townes at Barclay a high social-vulnerability area?

The Townes at Barclay sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Townes at Barclay have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Townes at Barclay is census tract 17097864524 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.2, a spread of 2.2 points.
Q7

How safe is The Townes at Barclay for landlords?

The Townes at Barclay carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo Grove as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Townes at Barclay?

The Townes at Barclay has 11,975 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (35.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Townes at Barclay

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo Grove

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Townes at Barclay.

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