Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Glen Carbon
Tract 17119403121 · Madison County, IL · pop 9,557 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 17119403121 sits in the Forest Grove area of Glen Carbon, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 9,557. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units3,712
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$91,747
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Glen Carbon and the region
Centroid at 38.7697, -89.9684 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Grove scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Glen Carbon
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,100 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Glen Carbon
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Glen Carbon
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Glen Carbon
4.3
How Forest Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 11 yrs
- 1.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2008)
- 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Grove
It sits 1.4 points below the Madison County average of 4.8. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Madison County average of 42.1%.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 147 evictions over 11 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2008 at 2.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $91,747, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17119403121
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17119403121?
Census tract 17119403121 in the Forest Grove neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17119403121?
Median gross rent is $1,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17119403121?
6.3% of residents in tract 17119403121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,557.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17119403121?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 67th, minority 25th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 17119403121 considered part of Forest Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17119403121 fall within Forest Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17119403121?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 17119403121 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.90% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17119403121 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17119403121 compare to Glen Carbon overall?
Tract 17119403121 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Glen Carbon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Glen Carbon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Glen Carbon
Top eight tracts in Glen Carbon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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