Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Watertown Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Moline
Tract 17161020600 · Rock Island County, IL · pop 2,156 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 17161020600 in the Watertown area of East Moline, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units874
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$53,947
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Moline and the region
Centroid at 41.5263, -90.4386 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watertown scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Moline
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$768 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Moline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Moline
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Moline
6.9
How Watertown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.5%Housing insecurity
- 17.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.6%Food insecurity
- 35.9%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 19.7%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watertown
Food insecurity runs 34.6% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.5/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Rock Island County average of 4.6. Housing insecurity runs 25.5% against 14.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.4/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10. Average gross rent is $768, 12% below the East Moline average.
Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $53,947, annual rent is just 17%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17161020600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17161020600?
Census tract 17161020600 in the Watertown neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17161020600?
Median gross rent is $768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17161020600?
26.0% of residents in tract 17161020600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,156.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17161020600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 88th, minority 64th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 17161020600 considered part of Watertown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17161020600 fall within Watertown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17161020600 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17161020600 compare to East Moline overall?
Tract 17161020600 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of East Moline at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Moline eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Moline
Top eight tracts in East Moline ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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