Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Belleville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163501501 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 1,507 · 38% of tract blocks fall in Belleville

Census tract 17163501501 covers part of Belleville, IL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,507. 56% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 7% Owners 79%

Tract context

Occupied units639

Renter share20.3%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate6.1%

Median income$77,872

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Belleville and the region

Centroid at 38.5823, -90.0512 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belleville scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Belleville

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

6.1% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,016 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Belleville

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Belleville

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Belleville

6.5

How Belleville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

14%Grade A
20%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.2%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
17.5%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
29.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belleville

Against St. Clair County at 44.8%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $77,872, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

It tracks the St. Clair County average of 4.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,016, close to the Belleville average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163501501

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163501501?

Census tract 17163501501 in Belleville scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163501501?

Median gross rent is $1,016/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163501501?

6.1% of residents in tract 17163501501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,507.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163501501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 54th, minority 69th, housing 63th.

What share of households in tract 17163501501 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163501501 compare to Belleville overall?

Tract 17163501501 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Belleville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belleville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17163501501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belleville

Top eight tracts in Belleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.