Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Belleville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163503211 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 4,122 · 20% of tract blocks fall in Belleville

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 17163503211 in Belleville, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,122. The severe-burden share is 59%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 9% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units1,830

Renter share27.8%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate21.9%

Median income$76,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Belleville and the region

Centroid at 38.5631, -90.0600 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belleville scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Belleville

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

21.9% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$1,096 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Belleville

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Belleville

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Belleville

6.5

How Belleville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

5%Grade A
12%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.6%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
15.6%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belleville

Cost burden runs 66% here against 44.8% across St. Clair County. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the St. Clair County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Against average income of $76,250, annual rent is just 17%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,096, close to the Belleville average. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163503211

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163503211?

Census tract 17163503211 in Belleville scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163503211?

Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163503211?

21.9% of residents in tract 17163503211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,122.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163503211?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 62th, minority 59th, housing 25th.

What share of households in tract 17163503211 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163503211 compare to Belleville overall?

Tract 17163503211 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Belleville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belleville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17163503211 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belleville

Top eight tracts in Belleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.