Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Belleville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163503211 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 4,122 · 20% of tract blocks fall in Belleville

Here is how census tract 17163503211, in Belleville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,122. That is riskier than about 81% of US census tracts.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 59% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,096 monthly, set against $76,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 9% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units1,830

Renter share27.8%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate21.9%

Median income$76,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Belleville and the region

Centroid at 38.5631, -90.0600 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belleville scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Belleville

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

21.9% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$1,096 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Belleville

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Belleville

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Belleville

6.5

How Belleville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

5%Grade A
12%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.6%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
15.6%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belleville

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Belleville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163503211

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163503211?

Census tract 17163503211 in Belleville scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163503211?

Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163503211?

21.9% of residents in tract 17163503211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,122.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163503211?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 62th, minority 59th, housing 25th.

What share of households in tract 17163503211 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163503211 compare to Belleville overall?

Tract 17163503211 scores 4.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Belleville at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belleville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17163503211 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belleville

Top eight tracts in Belleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.