Caseyville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17163502404 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 3,562 · 27% of tract blocks fall in Caseyville
17163502404 is a census tract in Caseyville, IL. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Caseyville and the region
Centroid at 38.6261, -90.0589 · click any tract to drill in
Why Caseyville scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Caseyville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.6%Housing insecurity
- 19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.0%Food insecurity
- 39.4%SNAP enrollment
- 17.8%Transit barriers
- 20.2%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 40.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Caseyville
Housing insecurity runs 27.6% against 14.2% nationally. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Against the St. Clair County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The dominant input is economic stress at 7.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.2% against 11.3% nationally.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for East St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,130, close to the Caseyville average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $46,789.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 17163502404
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163502404?
What is the average rent in tract 17163502404?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17163502404?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17163502404?
What share of households in tract 17163502404 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17163502404 compare to Caseyville overall?
Was tract 17163502404 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Caseyville
Top eight tracts in Caseyville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.