Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Caseyville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17163502404 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 3,562 · 27% of tract blocks fall in Caseyville
Caseyville anchors census tract 17163502404, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,130 a month while the average household earns $46,789 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,483
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate28.8%
Median income$46,789
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Caseyville and the region
Centroid at 38.6261, -90.0589 · click any tract to drill in
Why Caseyville scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Caseyville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
28.8% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,130 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Caseyville
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Caseyville
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Caseyville
5.5
How Caseyville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.6%Housing insecurity
- 19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.0%Food insecurity
- 39.4%SNAP enrollment
- 17.8%Transit barriers
- 20.2%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 40.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Caseyville
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Caseyville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 27.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17163502404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163502404?
Census tract 17163502404 in Caseyville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17163502404?
Median gross rent is $1,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17163502404?
28.8% of residents in tract 17163502404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,562.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17163502404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 62th, minority 62th, housing 78th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17163502404 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17163502404 compare to Caseyville overall?
Tract 17163502404 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Caseyville at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caseyville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 17163502404 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Caseyville
Top eight tracts in Caseyville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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