Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
McKinzie Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Belleville
Tract 17163501700 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 3,465 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 17163501700 in the McKinzie Place area of Belleville, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,465 residents. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the St. Clair County average of 44.8%.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,290
Renter share42.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$56,121
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Belleville and the region
Centroid at 38.5121, -89.9896 · click any tract to drill in
Why McKinzie Place scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Belleville
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$827 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belleville
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belleville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belleville
6.5
How McKinzie Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McKinzie Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.2%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 19.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McKinzie Place
The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.8/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Against the St. Clair County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. At $827 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Belleville commands.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $56,121, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17163501700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163501700?
Census tract 17163501700 in the McKinzie Place neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17163501700?
Median gross rent is $827/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17163501700?
19.7% of residents in tract 17163501700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,465.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17163501700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 46th, minority 55th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 17163501700 considered part of McKinzie Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17163501700 fall within McKinzie Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17163501700 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17163501700 compare to Belleville overall?
Tract 17163501700 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Belleville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belleville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Belleville
Top eight tracts in Belleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
17163501606
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
McKinzie Place
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17163501602
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Sunset Hills
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17163501604
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17163501607
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17163503211
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17163501502
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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