Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Poplar Place Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 17167001600 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 3,070 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 17167001600, in the Poplar Place neighborhood of Springfield eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.8/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,070. That is riskier than about 69% of US census tracts.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 61% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,029 a month against an average household income of $22,284 a year, roughly 55% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 19% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units1,300

Renter share60.8%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate36.7%

Median income$22,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7958, -89.6195 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poplar Place scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

36.7% poverty · this tract

9.2

Supply constraint

$1,029 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Poplar Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
37%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Poplar Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.9%Housing insecurity
31.5%Utility-shutoff threat
51.9%Food insecurity
61.9%SNAP enrollment
26.6%Transit barriers
16.1%No health insurance
24.3%Frequent mental distress
49.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poplar Place

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 37.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 31.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167001600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167001600?

Census tract 17167001600 in the Poplar Place neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167001600?

Median gross rent is $1,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167001600?

36.7% of residents in tract 17167001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,070.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 91th, minority 85th, housing 47th.

Is tract 17167001600 considered part of Poplar Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167001600 fall within Poplar Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167001600 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167001600 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167001600 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.