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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Bellair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Wayne

Tract 18003000400 · Allen County, IN · pop 2,791 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 18003000400 covers part of the Bellair area of Fort Wayne, IN, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,791. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 31% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,268
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$45,291

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bellair
Very High
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 79 tracts In Fort Wayne
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 96 tracts In Allen County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#370 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Wayne and the region

Centroid at 41.0850, -85.0967 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellair scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Wayne
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$815 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Wayne
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Wayne
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Wayne
2.0

How Bellair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellair risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0004003.2Fort Wayneparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 156Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 12.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.3%Peak (2017)
  • 75Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bellair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellair

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $815, 18% below the Fort Wayne average.

The filing record is not thin: 156 evictions over 2 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the Allen County average of 3.7.

The worst year on record was 2017, when 13.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Fort Wayne. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18003000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18003000400?

Census tract 18003000400 in the Bellair neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18003000400?

Median gross rent is $815/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18003000400?

21.9% of residents in tract 18003000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,791.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18003000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 10th, minority 47th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 18003000400 considered part of Bellair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18003000400 fall within Bellair (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18003000400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 156 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 18003000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.79% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 18003000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 18003000400 compare to Fort Wayne overall?

Tract 18003000400 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Wayne at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Wayne eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 18003000400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Wayne

Top eight tracts in Fort Wayne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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