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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Bellair Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Wayne

Tract 18003000400 · Allen County, IN · pop 2,791 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

In the Bellair area of Fort Wayne, census tract 18003000400 scores 4.8/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 32nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $815 a month while the average household earns $45,291 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 31% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,268
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$45,291

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bellair
Very Low
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 79 tracts In Fort Wayne
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 96 tracts In Allen County
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#317 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Wayne and the region

Centroid at 41.0850, -85.0967 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellair scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Wayne
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$815 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Wayne
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Wayne
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Wayne
2.0

How Bellair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellair risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 000400Fort Wayne: 2.22.2Fort Wayneparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 156Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 12.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.3%Peak (2017)
  • 75Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bellair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellair

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Wayne eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Allen County average of 4.6 and in line with the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 18003000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18003000400?

Census tract 18003000400 in the Bellair neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18003000400?

Median gross rent is $815/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18003000400?

21.9% of residents in tract 18003000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,791.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18003000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 10th, minority 47th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 18003000400 considered part of Bellair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18003000400 fall within Bellair (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18003000400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 156 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 18003000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.79% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 18003000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 18003000400 compare to Fort Wayne overall?

Tract 18003000400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Wayne at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Wayne eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 18003000400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Wayne

Top eight tracts in Fort Wayne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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