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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Papermill Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Wayne

Tract 18003004103 · Allen County, IN · pop 6,338 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 18003004103 covers Papermill Bluffs in Fort Wayne in Indiana. Home to 6,338 residents, it scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,080 a month against an average household income of $56,011 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 85% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 44% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units3,072
Renter share84.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$56,011

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Papermill Bluffs
Very High
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 79 tracts In Fort Wayne
Elevated
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 96 tracts In Allen County
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#317 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Wayne and the region

Centroid at 41.1299, -85.1063 · click any tract to drill in

Why Papermill Bluffs scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Wayne
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,080 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Wayne
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Wayne
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Wayne
2.0

How Papermill Bluffs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Papermill Bluffs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 004103Fort Wayne: 2.22.2Fort Wayneparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 574Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 12.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.3%Peak (2018)
  • 365Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Papermill Bluffs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Papermill Bluffs

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Wayne eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Allen County average of 4.6 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 18003004103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18003004103?

Census tract 18003004103 in the Papermill Bluffs neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18003004103?

Median gross rent is $1,080/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18003004103?

23.6% of residents in tract 18003004103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,338.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18003004103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 44th, minority 59th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 18003004103 considered part of Papermill Bluffs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18003004103 fall within Papermill Bluffs (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18003004103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 574 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 18003004103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.78% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 18003004103 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 18003004103 compare to Fort Wayne overall?

Tract 18003004103 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Wayne at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Wayne eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Wayne

Top eight tracts in Fort Wayne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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