Sunshine Gardens Eviction Risk: Lower , Indianapolis

The voucher gap is 38.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 8.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.

SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Marion County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Indianapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.