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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Southeast Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Bend

Tract 18141003000 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 1,619 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

18141003000 is a census tract in the Southeast area of South Bend, IN. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,619. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 29% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units512
Renter share52.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate59.6%
Median income$32,344

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Southeast
Elevated
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 47 tracts In South Bend
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 82 tracts In St. Joseph County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#370 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Bend and the region

Centroid at 41.6545, -86.2432 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southeast scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Bend
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
59.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,092 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Bend
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Bend
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Bend
2.5

How Southeast compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southeast risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0030003.2South Bendparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 61Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 27.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.5%Peak (2015)
  • 61Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 243Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southeast

33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 60%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $32,344, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 28.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Housing insecurity runs 33.3% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 41.2% across St. Joseph County. Court records carry 61 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

Against the St. Joseph County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2015 at 27.5% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 27.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18141003000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141003000?

Census tract 18141003000 in the Southeast neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18141003000?

Median gross rent is $1,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18141003000?

59.6% of residents in tract 18141003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,619.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18141003000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 87th, minority 60th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 18141003000 considered part of Southeast?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141003000 fall within Southeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141003000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.48% of renter households, peaking at 27.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 18141003000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 18141003000 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 18141003000 compare to South Bend overall?

Tract 18141003000 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of South Bend at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 18141003000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Bend

Top eight tracts in South Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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