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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Southeast Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Bend

Tract 18141003000 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 1,619 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Eviction risk in the Southeast neighborhood of South Bend centers on tract 18141003000, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,619 residents. That is riskier than about 68% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,092 monthly, set against $32,344 in average yearly household income, roughly 41% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 29% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units512
Renter share52.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate59.6%
Median income$32,344

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Southeast
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 47 tracts In South Bend
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 82 tracts In St. Joseph County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#131 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Bend and the region

Centroid at 41.6545, -86.2432 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southeast scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Bend
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
59.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,092 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Bend
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Bend
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Bend
2.5

How Southeast compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southeast risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 003000South Bend: 2.62.6South Bendparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 61Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 27.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.5%Peak (2015)
  • 61Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 243Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-03-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-11-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-03-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2023-08-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-02-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-05-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southeast

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South Bend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Joseph County average of 5.2 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 61 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 27.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.5% of renter households in 2015.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 18141003000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141003000?

Census tract 18141003000 in the Southeast neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18141003000?

Median gross rent is $1,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18141003000?

59.6% of residents in tract 18141003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,619.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18141003000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 87th, minority 60th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 18141003000 considered part of Southeast?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141003000 fall within Southeast (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141003000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.48% of renter households, peaking at 27.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 18141003000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 18141003000 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 18141003000 compare to South Bend overall?

Tract 18141003000 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of South Bend at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 18141003000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Bend

Top eight tracts in South Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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