Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Southeast Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Bend
Tract 18141003500 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 2,974 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 18141003500 covers part of the Southeast area of South Bend, IN, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,974. At $602 a month, rents run 42% under what the rest of South Bend commands.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,431
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$53,076
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Bend and the region
Centroid at 41.6362, -86.2432 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southeast scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South Bend
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$602 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Bend
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Bend
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Bend
2.5
How Southeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2015)
- 26Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 125Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.49×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.6%Food insecurity
- 18.9%SNAP enrollment
- 13.1%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southeast
Cost burden runs 28% here against 41.2% across St. Joseph County. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 filings here across 1 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 25.6% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for South Bend. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 18141003500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141003500?
Census tract 18141003500 in the Southeast neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18141003500?
Median gross rent is $602/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18141003500?
20.1% of residents in tract 18141003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,974.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18141003500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 92th, minority 52th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 18141003500 considered part of Southeast?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141003500 fall within Southeast (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141003500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 18141003500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 18141003500 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 18141003500 compare to South Bend overall?
Tract 18141003500 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of South Bend at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 18141003500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South Bend
Top eight tracts in South Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
Southeast
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Southeast
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Miami Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
River Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
LaSalle Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Southeast
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Keller Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Monroe Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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