Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Oakdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Coralville
Tract 19103000303 · Johnson County, IA · pop 2,311 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 19103000303 covers part of the Oakdale area of Coralville, IA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units794
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$44,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coralville and the region
Centroid at 41.7084, -91.6245 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakdale scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Coralville
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,120 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coralville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coralville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coralville
6.7
How Oakdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakdale
Cost burden runs 66% here against 49.2% across Johnson County. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Against the Johnson County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,120, close to the Coralville average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $44,333.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19103000303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103000303?
Census tract 19103000303 in the Oakdale neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19103000303?
Median gross rent is $1,120/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19103000303?
18.6% of residents in tract 19103000303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,311.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19103000303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 24th, minority 48th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 19103000303 considered part of Oakdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103000303 fall within Oakdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 19103000303 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 19103000303 compare to Coralville overall?
Tract 19103000303 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Coralville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coralville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Coralville
Top eight tracts in Coralville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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