Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Oakdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Coralville
Tract 19103000303 · Johnson County, IA · pop 2,311 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Eviction risk in Oakdale in Coralville centers on tract 19103000303, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,311 residents. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,120 a month while the average household earns $44,333 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units794
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$44,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coralville and the region
Centroid at 41.7084, -91.6245 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakdale scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Coralville
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,120 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coralville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coralville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coralville
6.7
How Oakdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oakdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakdale
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Coralville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Johnson County average of 4.7 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19103000303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103000303?
Census tract 19103000303 in the Oakdale neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19103000303?
Median gross rent is $1,120/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19103000303?
18.6% of residents in tract 19103000303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,311.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19103000303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 24th, minority 48th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 19103000303 considered part of Oakdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103000303 fall within Oakdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 19103000303 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 19103000303 compare to Coralville overall?
Tract 19103000303 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Coralville at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coralville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Coralville
Top eight tracts in Coralville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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