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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Prairie Trail Eviction Risk: Lower , Ankeny

Tract 19153010205 · Polk County, IA · pop 8,295 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Prairie Trail area of Ankeny is where census tract 19153010205 sits, home to 8,295 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,423 a month against an average household income of $111,006 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 25% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units3,407
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$111,006

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Prairie Trail
Very Low
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 12 tracts In Ankeny
Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Very Low
Within state
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#850 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ankeny and the region

Centroid at 41.7198, -93.6168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prairie Trail scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ankeny
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,423 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ankeny
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ankeny
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ankeny
3.4

How Prairie Trail compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prairie Trail risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 010205Ankeny: 2.32.3Ankenyparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 169Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2015)
  • 47Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530102052006: 15 filings (2.71/100 renter HHs)2007: 9 filings (1.63/100 renter HHs)2008: 19 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (2.71/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (1.25/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2012: 6 filings (0.61/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2014: 26 filings (2.66/100 renter HHs)2015: 47 filings (4.80/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 213% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Prairie Trail. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prairie Trail

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ankeny eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 169 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.8% of renter households in 2015.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153010205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010205?

Census tract 19153010205 in the Prairie Trail neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153010205?

Median gross rent is $1,423/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010205?

5.5% of residents in tract 19153010205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,295.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 7th, minority 18th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 19153010205 considered part of Prairie Trail?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153010205 fall within Prairie Trail (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153010205?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 169 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153010205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153010205 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153010205 compare to Ankeny overall?

Tract 19153010205 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Ankeny at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ankeny eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ankeny

Top eight tracts in Ankeny ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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