Merle Hay Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines
Tract 19153010408 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,002 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
19153010408 is a census tract in the Merle Hay area of Urbandale, IA. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,002 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6268, -93.7107 · click any tract to drill in
Why Merle Hay scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Merle Hay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 10 yrs
- 3.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2015)
- 19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Merle Hay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Merle Hay
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Cost burden runs 35% here against 42.0% across Polk County. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 filings here across 10 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $82,522, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 19153010408
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153010408?
What is the average rent in tract 19153010408?
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153010408?
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153010408?
Is tract 19153010408 considered part of Merle Hay?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153010408?
What share of households in tract 19153010408 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 19153010408 compare to Des Moines overall?
Was tract 19153010408 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.