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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Black Hawk Eviction Risk: Moderate , Davenport

Tract 19163012300 · Scott County, IA · pop 1,454 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Black Hawk neighborhood of Davenport is where census tract 19163012300 sits, home to 1,454 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.3/10. That is riskier than about 18% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $931 a month against an average household income of $44,803 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 20% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units661
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$44,803

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Black Hawk
Very High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 31 tracts In Davenport
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 48 tracts In Scott County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#117 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Davenport and the region

Centroid at 41.5061, -90.6264 · click any tract to drill in

Why Black Hawk scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$931 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
2.5

How Black Hawk compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Black Hawk risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 012300Davenport: 2.62.6Davenportparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 68Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 5.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.2%Peak (2006)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191630123002004: 14 filings (6.83/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (4.32/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (9.19/100 renter HHs)2009: 15 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 7 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Black Hawk. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Black Hawk

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Davenport eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Scott County average of 4.8 and in line with the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 65% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19163012300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19163012300?

Census tract 19163012300 in the Black Hawk neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19163012300?

Median gross rent is $931/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19163012300?

19.0% of residents in tract 19163012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,454.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19163012300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 53th, minority 52th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 19163012300 considered part of Black Hawk?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19163012300 fall within Black Hawk (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19163012300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 19163012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.75% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19163012300 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19163012300 compare to Davenport overall?

Tract 19163012300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Davenport at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19163012300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Davenport

Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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