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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Black Hawk Eviction Risk: Moderate , Davenport

Tract 19163012502 · Scott County, IA · pop 3,822 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 19163012502 in the Black Hawk area of Davenport, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 17% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,801
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$62,552

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Black Hawk
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 31 tracts In Davenport
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 48 tracts In Scott County
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Davenport and the region

Centroid at 41.5270, -90.6347 · click any tract to drill in

Why Black Hawk scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$934 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
2.5

How Black Hawk compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Black Hawk risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0125023.3Davenportparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 117Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2015)
  • 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19163012502
Filings climbed 67% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Black Hawk. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Black Hawk

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Scott County at 41.8%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 117 filings here across 6 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Davenport. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $62,552, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19163012502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19163012502?

Census tract 19163012502 in the Black Hawk neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19163012502?

Median gross rent is $934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19163012502?

15.8% of residents in tract 19163012502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,822.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19163012502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 41th, minority 40th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 19163012502 considered part of Black Hawk?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19163012502 fall within Black Hawk (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19163012502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 19163012502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.82% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19163012502 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19163012502 compare to Davenport overall?

Tract 19163012502 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Davenport at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19163012502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Davenport

Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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