Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Black Hawk Eviction Risk: Moderate , Davenport
Tract 19163012502 · Scott County, IA · pop 3,822 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 19163012502 runs through the Black Hawk area of Davenport. With 3,822 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #51,299 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $934 a month while the average household earns $62,552 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,801
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$62,552
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Davenport and the region
Centroid at 41.5270, -90.6347 · click any tract to drill in
Why Black Hawk scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$934 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
2.5
How Black Hawk compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 117Total filings over 6 yrs
- 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2015)
- 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Black Hawk. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.3%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Black Hawk
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Davenport eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Scott County average of 4.8 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19163012502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19163012502?
Census tract 19163012502 in the Black Hawk neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19163012502?
Median gross rent is $934/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19163012502?
15.8% of residents in tract 19163012502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,822.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19163012502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 41th, minority 40th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 19163012502 considered part of Black Hawk?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19163012502 fall within Black Hawk (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19163012502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 19163012502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.82% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19163012502 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19163012502 compare to Davenport overall?
Tract 19163012502 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Davenport at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19163012502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Davenport
Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
College Square Historic District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Hamburg Historic District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Riverview Terrace Historic District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
College Square Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Hamburg Historic District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19163012501
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Windor Crest Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
College Square Historic District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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