Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Union Drive Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ames

Tract 19169001304 · Story County, IA · pop 6,272 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 6.4/10, tract 19169001304 in the Union Drive area of Ames, IA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,272 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 35% Owners 11%

Tract context

Occupied units2,723

Renter share88.2%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate45.0%

Median income$33,168

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ames and the region

Centroid at 42.0147, -93.6668 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union Drive scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ames

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Iowa legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

45.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,051 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ames

7.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ames

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ames

8.0

How Union Drive compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

90%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Union Drive. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.9%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
21.4%Food insecurity
18.7%SNAP enrollment
13.9%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
22.8%Frequent mental distress
31.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union Drive

61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Story County average of 40.1%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10.

This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $33,168 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Against the Story County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,051, close to the Ames average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 19169001304

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19169001304?

Census tract 19169001304 in the Union Drive neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 19169001304?

Median gross rent is $1,051/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 19169001304?

45.0% of residents in tract 19169001304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,272.

How socially vulnerable is tract 19169001304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 3th, minority 50th, housing 59th.

Is tract 19169001304 considered part of Union Drive?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19169001304 fall within Union Drive (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 19169001304 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 19169001304 compare to Ames overall?

Tract 19169001304 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Ames at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ames eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ames

Top eight tracts in Ames ranked by composite eviction-risk score.