Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Hickory Glen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hebron
Tract 21015070407 · Boone County, KY · pop 3,805 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 21015070407 in the Hickory Glen area of Hebron, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,805 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,047
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$104,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hebron and the region
Centroid at 39.0622, -84.7153 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hickory Glen scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hebron
3.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,319 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hebron
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hebron
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hebron
6.9
How Hickory Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hickory Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hickory Glen
53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Boone County average of 31.7%. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Against the Boone County average of 3.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
At $1,319 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Hebron commands. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $104,219, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21015070407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21015070407?
Census tract 21015070407 in the Hickory Glen neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21015070407?
Median gross rent is $1,319/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21015070407?
14.6% of residents in tract 21015070407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,805.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21015070407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 33th, minority 28th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 21015070407 considered part of Hickory Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21015070407 fall within Hickory Glen (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 21015070407 compare to Hebron overall?
Tract 21015070407 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Hebron at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hebron; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hebron
Top eight tracts in Hebron ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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