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Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Watterson Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111011301 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,992 · 53% of tract blocks fall in Watterson Park

Census tract 21111011301 covers part of Watterson Park, KY, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,992 residents. Against Jefferson County at 42.9%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 31% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units890
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$62,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Watterson Park
Moderate
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#429 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,239 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Watterson Park and the region

Centroid at 38.1869, -85.6845 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watterson Park scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Watterson Park
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watterson Park
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watterson Park
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watterson Park
6.1

How Watterson Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watterson Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0113014.0Watterson Parkparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,152Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 22.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.1%Peak (2013)
  • 104Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111011301
Filings climbed 131% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watterson Park

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1,152 evictions over 14 years of observation. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 22.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 23.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $62,750, annual rent is just 17%. It tracks the Jefferson County average of 4.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $895, close to the Watterson Park average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111011301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111011301?

Census tract 21111011301 in Watterson Park scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111011301?

Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111011301?

13.6% of residents in tract 21111011301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111011301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 65th, minority 80th, housing 51th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111011301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,152 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111011301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.97% of renter households, peaking at 22.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111011301 compare to Watterson Park overall?

Tract 21111011301 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Watterson Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watterson Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111011301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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