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Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Watterson Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111011301 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,992 · 53% of tract blocks fall in Watterson Park

Census tract 21111011301 covers Watterson Park, home to 1,992 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #51,363 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 16% of renter households, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $895 a month while the average household earns $62,750 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 31% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units890
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$62,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Watterson Park
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#775 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,065 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Watterson Park and the region

Centroid at 38.1869, -85.6845 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watterson Park scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Watterson Park
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watterson Park
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watterson Park
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watterson Park
6.1

How Watterson Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watterson Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 011301Watterson Park: 2.92.9Watterson Parkparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,152Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 22.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.1%Peak (2013)
  • 104Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110113012002: 45 filings (13.72/100 renter HHs)2003: 63 filings (19.21/100 renter HHs)2004: 61 filings (18.60/100 renter HHs)2005: 83 filings (29.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 93 filings (32.75/100 renter HHs)2007: 92 filings (32.39/100 renter HHs)2008: 80 filings (28.17/100 renter HHs)2009: 77 filings (27.11/100 renter HHs)2010: 81 filings (19.95/100 renter HHs)2011: 82 filings (17.26/100 renter HHs)2012: 96 filings (20.21/100 renter HHs)2013: 105 filings (22.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 90 filings (18.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 104 filings (21.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 131% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watterson Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Watterson Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and in line with the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111011301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111011301?

Census tract 21111011301 in Watterson Park scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111011301?

Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111011301?

13.6% of residents in tract 21111011301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111011301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 65th, minority 80th, housing 51th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111011301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,152 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111011301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.97% of renter households, peaking at 22.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111011301 compare to Watterson Park overall?

Tract 21111011301 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Watterson Park at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watterson Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111011301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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