Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Original Highland Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , Louisville

Tract 21111008202 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,416 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 21111008202 reflects conditions in the Original Highland Neighborhood neighborhood of Louisville, Kentucky. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,124 a month against an average household income of $54,656 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 41% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units1,393

Renter share63.2%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate11.5%

Median income$54,656

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2454, -85.7163 · click any tract to drill in

Why Original Highland Neighborhood scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

11.5% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,124 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

5.0

How Original Highland Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

8%Grade A
13%Grade B
11%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Original Highland Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Original Highland Neighborhood

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111008202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111008202?

Census tract 21111008202 in the Original Highland Neighborhood neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111008202?

Median gross rent is $1,124/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111008202?

11.5% of residents in tract 21111008202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,416.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111008202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 1th, minority 34th, housing 43th.

Is tract 21111008202 considered part of Original Highland Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111008202 fall within Original Highland Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21111008202 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111008202 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21111008202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.