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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Botany Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Covington

Tract 21117063800 · Kenton County, KY · pop 3,134 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 21117063800 covers part of the Botany Hills area of Covington, KY, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 18% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Kenton County average of 37.9%.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 28% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,668
Renter share33.8%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$83,022

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Botany Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 15 tracts In Covington
Very Low
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#22 of 44 tracts In Kenton County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#762 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Covington and the region

Centroid at 39.0865, -84.5363 · click any tract to drill in

Why Botany Hills scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Covington
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$817 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Covington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Covington
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Covington
4.0

How Botany Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Botany Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 0638003.8Covingtonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Botany Hills

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.

At $817 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Covington commands. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $83,022, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Kenton County average of 3.8 closely.

34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21117063800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21117063800?

Census tract 21117063800 in the Botany Hills neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21117063800?

Median gross rent is $817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21117063800?

8.3% of residents in tract 21117063800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,134.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21117063800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 14th, minority 34th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 21117063800 considered part of Botany Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21117063800 fall within Botany Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21117063800 compare to Covington overall?

Tract 21117063800 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Covington at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Covington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21117063800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Covington

Top eight tracts in Covington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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