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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Fairlane Eviction Risk: Lower , Bayou Blue

Tract 22109000105 · Terrebonne Parish, LA · pop 1,141 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 3.9/10, tract 22109000105 in the Fairlane area of Gray, LA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,141 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 12% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units616
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$52,478

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Fairlane
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bayou Blue
Very High
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 34 tracts In Terrebonne Parish
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#766 of 1,379 tracts In Louisiana
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayou Blue and the region

Centroid at 29.7007, -90.7956 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairlane scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bayou Blue
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Louisiana legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$975 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayou Blue
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayou Blue
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayou Blue
3.9

How Fairlane compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fairlane risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0001053.8Bayou Blueparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fairlane. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairlane

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

On the softer side, regional political climate reads 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 37% of renters.

It tracks the Terrebonne Parish average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $975, close to the Gray average.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $52,478.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 22109000105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 22109000105?

Census tract 22109000105 in the Fairlane neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 22109000105?

Median gross rent is $975/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 22109000105?

18.0% of residents in tract 22109000105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,141.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 22109000105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 23th, minority 55th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 22109000105 considered part of Fairlane?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 22109000105 fall within Fairlane (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 22109000105 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 22109000105 compare to Bayou Blue overall?

Tract 22109000105 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Bayou Blue at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayou Blue eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bayou Blue

Top eight tracts in Bayou Blue ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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