East Gray Eviction Risk: Moderate

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Cumberland County average of 5.0. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $97,500, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.