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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

East Gray Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 23005004702 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 6,065 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.4/10 for census tract 23005004702 reflects conditions in East Gray in Gray, Maine. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,321 monthly, set against $97,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 11% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,820
Renter share19.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$97,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Gray
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Gray
Moderate
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#63 of 80 tracts In Cumberland County
Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#376 of 401 tracts In Maine
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gray and the region

Centroid at 43.8774, -70.3168 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Gray scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gray
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gray
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gray
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gray
3.0

How East Gray compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Gray risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 004702Gray: 4.04.0Grayparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Gray

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gray, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 4.5 and below the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 23005004702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005004702?

Census tract 23005004702 in the East Gray neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23005004702?

Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23005004702?

3.4% of residents in tract 23005004702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,065.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23005004702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 5th, minority 18th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 23005004702 considered part of East Gray?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005004702 fall within East Gray (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23005004702 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23005004702 compare to Gray overall?

Tract 23005004702 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Gray at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gray; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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