Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Casco Village Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23005013001 ·
Cumberland County, ME · pop 1,709 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Casco Village in Casco anchors census tract 23005013001, which lands at 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,565 a month while the average household earns $42,554 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. About 5% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 3%Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units836
Renter share4.8%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$42,554
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Casco Village
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Casco
Moderate
Within county
75th percentile
#21 of 80 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
71th percentile
#116 of 401 tracts In Maine
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casco and the region
Centroid at 44.0035, -70.5029 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casco Village scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casco
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,565 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casco
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casco
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casco
3.8
How Casco Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
36%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.1%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
15.4%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Casco Village
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 3.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Casco, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 4.5 and below the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23005013001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005013001?
Census tract 23005013001 in the Casco Village neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23005013001?
Median gross rent is $1,565/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23005013001?
12.8% of residents in tract 23005013001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,709.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23005013001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 7th, minority 36th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 23005013001 considered part of Casco Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005013001 fall within Casco Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23005013001 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23005013001 compare to Casco overall?
Tract 23005013001 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Casco at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casco; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.