Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Casco Village Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23005013001 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 1,709 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
23005013001 is a census tract in the Casco Village area of Casco, ME. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,709. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units836
Renter share4.8%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$42,554
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casco and the region
Centroid at 44.0035, -70.5029 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casco Village scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Casco
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,565 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casco
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casco
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casco
3.8
How Casco Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 15.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Casco Village
Set annual rent against average income of $42,554 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The clearest offset is tenant-organizing strength at 2.2/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.6/10.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,565, 14% above the Casco average.
Against Cumberland County at 38.5%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Cumberland County average of 5.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 23005013001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005013001?
Census tract 23005013001 in the Casco Village neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23005013001?
Median gross rent is $1,565/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23005013001?
12.8% of residents in tract 23005013001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,709.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23005013001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 7th, minority 36th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 23005013001 considered part of Casco Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005013001 fall within Casco Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23005013001 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23005013001 compare to Casco overall?
Tract 23005013001 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Casco at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casco; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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