Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Paines Corner Eviction Risk: Lower , Winslow

Tract 23011023002 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 3,840 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

How risky is the Paines Corner neighborhood of Winslow for landlords? Census tract 23011023002 scores 4.6/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 26% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

17% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,456 a month while the average household earns $79,677 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,645
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$79,677

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Paines Corner
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Winslow
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 36 tracts In Kennebec County
Very Low
Within state
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#297 of 401 tracts In Maine
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winslow and the region

Centroid at 44.5211, -69.5683 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paines Corner scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winslow
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winslow
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winslow
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winslow
4.2

How Paines Corner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paines Corner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 023002Winslow: 4.34.3Winslowparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paines Corner

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winslow eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Kennebec County average of 5.2 and in line with the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 23011023002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011023002?

Census tract 23011023002 in the Paines Corner neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23011023002?

Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23011023002?

7.7% of residents in tract 23011023002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,840.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23011023002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 45th, minority 7th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 23011023002 considered part of Paines Corner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011023002 fall within Paines Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23011023002 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23011023002 compare to Winslow overall?

Tract 23011023002 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Winslow at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winslow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winslow

Top eight tracts in Winslow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related