Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Surfside Eviction Risk: Moderate , Old Orchard Beach
Tract 23031006104 · York County, ME · pop 2,532 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Eviction risk in the Surfside neighborhood of Old Orchard Beach centers on tract 23031006104, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,532 residents. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,048 a month while the average household earns $68,429 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,471
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$68,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Orchard Beach and the region
Centroid at 43.5291, -70.3830 · click any tract to drill in
Why Surfside scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Orchard Beach
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,048 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Orchard Beach
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Orchard Beach
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Orchard Beach
7.1
How Surfside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 34.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Surfside
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Old Orchard Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 4.8 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031006104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031006104?
Census tract 23031006104 in the Surfside neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031006104?
Median gross rent is $1,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031006104?
14.7% of residents in tract 23031006104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,532.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031006104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 12th, minority 4th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 23031006104 considered part of Surfside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031006104 fall within Surfside (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031006104 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23031006104 compare to Old Orchard Beach overall?
Tract 23031006104 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Old Orchard Beach at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Orchard Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Old Orchard Beach
Top eight tracts in Old Orchard Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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