Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Surfside Eviction Risk: Moderate , Old Orchard Beach
Tract 23031006104 · York County, ME · pop 2,532 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
23031006104 is a census tract in the Surfside area of Old Orchard Beach, ME. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,532 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,471
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$68,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Orchard Beach and the region
Centroid at 43.5291, -70.3830 · click any tract to drill in
Why Surfside scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Orchard Beach
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,048 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Orchard Beach
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Orchard Beach
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Orchard Beach
7.1
How Surfside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 34.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Surfside
It sits 1.4 points above the York County average of 4.3. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $1,048 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Old Orchard Beach commands. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $68,429. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031006104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031006104?
Census tract 23031006104 in the Surfside neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031006104?
Median gross rent is $1,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031006104?
14.7% of residents in tract 23031006104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,532.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031006104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 12th, minority 4th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 23031006104 considered part of Surfside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031006104 fall within Surfside (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031006104 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23031006104 compare to Old Orchard Beach overall?
Tract 23031006104 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Old Orchard Beach at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Orchard Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Old Orchard Beach
Top eight tracts in Old Orchard Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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