Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
East Waterboro Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 23031024002 ·
York County, ME · pop 4,482 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 23031024002 in the East Waterboro area of York County, ME reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 60% here against 39.3% across York County.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 5%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,503
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$74,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In East Waterboro
Moderate
Within county
68th percentile
#19 of 58 tracts In York County
Elevated
Within state
62th percentile
#152 of 401 tracts In Maine
Elevated
National
51th percentile
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across York County and the region
Centroid at 43.5925, -70.7100 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Waterboro scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How East Waterboro compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
28%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.3%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
9.1%Food insecurity
11.6%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Waterboro
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the York County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,351 a month.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $74,292.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031024002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031024002?
Census tract 23031024002 in the East Waterboro neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031024002?
Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031024002?
7.2% of residents in tract 23031024002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,482.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031024002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 13th, minority 6th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 23031024002 considered part of East Waterboro?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031024002 fall within East Waterboro (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031024002 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.